3 Aug · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1474
FormLLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Salivonchyk
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1390
FormWLWLL
59%
41%
🌟Salivonchyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)