3 Aug · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mykolay Treschetka
ELO 1515
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Treschetka
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1478
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Treschetka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.