3 Aug · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1400
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Melnykov
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1474
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
🌟Melnykov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (59)
Fair odds · Melnykov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)