3 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1413
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Leonenko
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1403
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (67)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H8-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.