3 Aug · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1605
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Volkov
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1596
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H80-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.