3 Aug · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1529
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Makara
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1556
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Makara
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H22-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.