4 Aug · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇺🇦Anton Molochko
ELO 1778
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Molochko
DZ
🇺🇦Dmytro Zeniuk
ELO 1703
FormWWWLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zeniuk🌟Zeniuk covers set handicap as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Molochko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H47-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-16)