4 Aug · 07:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Denys Shcherbak
ELO 1572
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Shcherbak
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1513
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
🌟Shcherbak stays under total as favourite 63% (178)
Fair odds · Shcherbak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H33-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-26)