4 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1596
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Troyan
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1532
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Karpenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (80)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H32-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-29)