4 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1537
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1549
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H50-71
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.