4 Aug · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1580
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Riadynskyi
EH
🇺🇦Evhenii Hrytsenko
ELO 1503
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🌟Hrytsenko covers set handicap as underdog 68% (65)
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)