4 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1631
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kushnirenko
VK
🇺🇦Vadim Komar
ELO 1622
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🌟Kushnirenko covers set handicap as favourite 68% (22)
Fair odds · Kushnirenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H8-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.