4 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1658
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kryshtal
VK
🇺🇦Vadim Komar
ELO 1622
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Komar covers set handicap as underdog 66% (61)
Fair odds · Kryshtal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H28-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.