4 Aug · 08:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1736
FormWLWWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Pesternikov
IR
🇺🇦Ivan Romaniak
ELO 1513
FormLLLWL
72%
28%
🌟Romaniak covers set handicap as underdog 62% (138)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 55%Total ~74 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
17%
2-3
11%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+223
H2H29-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+223)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-26)