4 Aug · 07:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1528
FormLLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Pesternikov
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1736
FormWLWWL
29%
71%
🌟Kozachuk stays under total as underdog 66% (130)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~71 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+208
H2H102-92
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+208)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (102-92)