4 Aug · 06:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇺🇦Denys Pesternikov
ELO 1736
FormWLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pesternikov
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1642
FormWWLWW
60%
40%
🌟Rak stays under total as underdog 62% (77)
Fair odds · Pesternikov
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H72-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-51)