4 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1470
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ziakun
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1422
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Ziakun goes over total as favourite 72% (40)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H51-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-19)