5 Aug · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1567
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Maltsev
DM
🇺🇦Denys Maltsev
ELO 1595
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Maltsev
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H22-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.