5 Aug · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1462
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Styranets
MS
🇺🇦Myhailo Styranets
ELO 1509
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Styranets
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)