5 Aug · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1495
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1553
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H24-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-23)