5 Aug · 13:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1537
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Tebenko
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1534
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Tebenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (63)
Fair odds · Tebenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H42-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.