5 Aug · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1545
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Makara
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1561
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Makara
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H23-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.