5 Aug · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇺🇦Jakub Simek
ELO 1492
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Juppa
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1542
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Juppa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)