5 Aug · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1622
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lievshin
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1657
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Yurkov🌟Yurkov covers set handicap as underdog 77% (52)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.