6 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1498
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1576
FormWLLLL
42%
58%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (163)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)