6 Aug · 06:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1441
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mukhin
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1438
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.