6 Aug · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1482
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1532
FormLWLWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ziakun🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 66% (119)
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H54-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-22)