6 Aug · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1571
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sukovatyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1620
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sukovatyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)