6 Aug · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1555
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maliuk
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1491
FormLLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H25-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-23)