6 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JV
🇺🇦Jan Vrnak
ELO 1379
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holub
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1440
FormWWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H23-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-14)