6 Aug · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Miroslav Hajek
ELO 1552
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hajek
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1507
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Juppa🌟Hajek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Hajek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)