6 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1427
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kondratenko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1417
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kondratenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.