6 Aug · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bolnyh
ELO 1362
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bolnyh
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1335
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Bolnyh stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Bolnyh
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.