6 Aug · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1615
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sukovatyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1620
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 68% (92)
Fair odds · Sukovatyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H26-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.