6 Aug · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1512
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kanka
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1507
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Juppa🌟Kanka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (35)
Fair odds · Kanka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H17-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.