6 Aug · 07:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1497
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skhabitskiy
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1470
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H8-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.