6 Aug · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1498
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Karpenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1527
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Solomko🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (163)
Fair odds · Karpenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H12-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.