6 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1488
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Klymenko
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1450
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.