6 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1482
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1491
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ziakun🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 66% (119)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~81 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H45-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.