7 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1559
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1633
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (175)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)