7 Aug · 07:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Volodymyr Savoliuk
ELO 1578
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Savoliuk
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1570
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Savoliuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H34-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.