7 Aug · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1449
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bilobrov
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1488
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Hryhorenko stays under total as underdog 63% (52)
Fair odds · Bilobrov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.