7 Aug · 07:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Moroz
ELO 1184
FormLLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Sydorchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1328
FormLLLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Sydorchuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+144
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)