7 Aug · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1237
FormLWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Melnichuk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1359
FormWWWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Melnichuk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~73 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H19-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-3)