7 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1781
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fedoryshyn
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1772
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Fedoryshyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H77-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.