7 Aug · 06:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YO
🇺🇦Yehor Opryshchenko
ELO 1568
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kaidakov
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Kaidakov
ELO 1575
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Kaidakov goes over total as favourite 64% (45)
Fair odds · Kaidakov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.