7 Aug · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇺🇦Miroslav Hajek
ELO 1558
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hajek
TK
🇺🇦Tomas Kanka
ELO 1522
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Hajek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Hajek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.