7 Aug · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotiash
ELO 1535
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1602
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)