7 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1508
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stetsenko
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1496
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 63% (84)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 27% · 3.68· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.