7 Aug · 07:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1619
FormWLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Loboda
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1494
FormLLWLL
63%
37%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 67% (131)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)